nopin

Thursday, October 15, 2009

The meteorology-types are speaking again...

... and we are supposed to have a warmer Winter this year. What does this mean, if anything? I have no idea. Temperatures are so unpredictable here, there's just no telling.

Lately, the weather has been getting nippy, though there has been no snow. The country is still stunning, with golden trees against a true blue sky. At night, temperatures drop below freezing.

6 comments:

TwoYaks said...

Welllll... not to disagree, but... the climate here is actually fairly predictable. Weather from moment to moment might not (suffering from not enough data from surrounding weather stations), but weather≠climate.

Also, I think we're suffering from a difference of what "Warm winter" means. Most of the climate models look at probability of deviations from the norm, not the magnitude of the deviations. In this view, a day of -40F followed by a day of +60F is the same as a day of -15F and a day of +15F if the norm is 0°±10°F.

Or, maybe. That's the forecasting that I'm familiar with. They might be writing about another. I'm open to being wrong on this.

Arvay said...

Well, that article I linked to was from the AP and definitely not written with us in mind!

That being said, I agree with you that overall climate is predictable, but daily weather? Pssh!

I have noticed that the weather reporters around here get undeserved credit for the end of a long cold snap. When it's -40, they always say temps will come up in two to three days. The next day, they'll push it back, and keep pushing it back, even as weeks go by (as in the case of last year around Christmas). Finally, when temperatures come up, people say, "Hey! The weather people were right! Temps did come up! They were a bit late, but they were right!"

:~D

Arvay said...

In any case, I'm sure my sister is going to be on in a bit and comment, "Either it's warmer cold or colder cold, but either way, it's ASS-COLD!"

:~D

mdr said...

Come back, come back, come back home

requested by:
mdr, bpr, jsh, sra

Alaskan Dave Down Under said...

And dontcha y'all just love when climate change deniers go up to Squarebanks in the middle of January to show the nation how cold it it?

Oops, sorry. I'll go back to being a smartaleck.

Max R. said...

The Earth's climate varies in cycles. The weather in England used to be great for growing grapes for wine. Not true anymore. Human effects are largly irrelevant. We are not the critical value.